This Labour Government Disappoints

Where there is no prophecy, the people cast off restraint …

Proverbs 29:18a Old Testament, The Bible.

The timing of the government’s publication of its immigration whitepaper (proposed legislation) was clearly a response to the astonishing success of the anti-immigration Reform party in the recent English local elections. The whitepaper’s emphasis on dramatically reducing immigration and the timing of its publication clearly demonstrates a government that is reacting to populist feeling rather than seeking to shape national debate.

Reducing the number of legal migrants can be a legitimate government policy but what is missing is any sign that the consequences are being clearly addressed. The aim is simply to reduce the numbers as rapidly as possible to some arbitrarily small number. The care sector has already loudly warned that reducing their ability to hire staff from overseas will mean closures in a sector that is already woefully inadequate for what we need as a nation. All year, the universities have been cutting courses and reducing staff as they try to plan around the major reduction in income as overseas student numbers plummet. Then, there is the growing financial burden of paying for the nation’s pensions. This currently represents around a half of the total welfare budget (1) and is only going to grow bigger as more and more people reach retirement age. And there is the NHS. Despite the increase in funding in the autumn statement, the NHS this year is planning to cut thousands of clinical staff in order to balance the books (2). Decimating the immigrant workforce means decimating the income tax paid by that workforce. How, then, are the nation’s pensions to be paid for? How, then, are we to pay for enough doctors and nurses in the NHS to stop playing catch-up? How do we replace the lost income of universities? How do we prevent closures of care homes?

It comes down to money. After reducing the immigrant workforce is the government going to invest enough money into these sectors to induce the UK home workforce to take up these jobs or to cover the loss of income? But for the government to invest more money into these sectors taxes will have to rise. It is this conversation that the government refuses to have with the electorate. How much are we willing to pay in taxes so that we can have effective public services, good pensions, and reduce the need for immigrant workers?

The Bible pithily points out that in the absence of prophecy a nation ends up in disarray. In the Bible, of course, prophecy is tied particularly to the wisdom and truth of God. But we do not need to specify divine inspiration to see that this applies in our time and place. Truth and wisdom, divinely inspired or not, is an important aspect of good government. Where a government will not offer truth and wisdom to a nation, particularly in debating public policy, there will be disarray. In the specific case of the UK, the choice between good public services and long term benefits for seniors and how much we are willing to pay, either directly through taxes or indirectly through immigration,  needs to be made clear and be part of the national debate. Instead, this government (as, indeed, the previous government) seems content to react to populist sentiment rather than lead national debate. The resulting national disarray as public services and benefits shrivel in the vacuum simply nurtures extreme and false sentiment. Many of us had hoped for something more worthy from a Labour government.

1. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/benefit-expenditure-and-caseload-tables-information-and-guidance/benefit-expenditure-and-caseload-tables-information-and-guidance#social-security-spending-in-the-united-kingdom-and-the-welfare-cap acc. 30.5.25
2. https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/may/09/nhs-hospitals-england-cuts-financial-reset